Live prediction market odds for CA-36 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ted Lieu (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 36th congressional district election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 36th congressional district election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating due to candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ted Lieu (D)WINNER | Yes |
Houston Brignano (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-36 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The winner is determined by the official vote count after the election on November 3, 2026. Candidates must secure the majority of votes to win.
Odds can change based on candidate fundraising, polling data, and major campaign events. Significant news or debates can also impact voter sentiment and market prices.
Results will be announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026. Official certification of results may take additional time depending on the counting process.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
