Live prediction market odds for CA-38 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Hilda Solis (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 38th congressional district in the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 38th congressional district in the 2026 elections. The market resolves based on the official certification of the election results on November 3, 2026, following the conclusion of the voting process.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Hilda Solis (D)WINNER | Yes |
Pedro Antonio Casas (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-38 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
This market reflects predictions on who will win the congressional seat in California's 38th district during the 2026 elections. It is influenced by candidates' campaign activities and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election results are officially certified. This date marks the conclusion of the voting process for the congressional race.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate polling, campaign events, and public debates. As new information emerges, traders adjust their predictions, impacting the market prices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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