CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
Live prediction market odds for CA-38 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-38 primary to determine which candidates will advance.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-38 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it will shape the political landscape in California and influence the broader electoral strategies for the upcoming general election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Erik Lutz | No result |
Hilda Solis | No result |
Monica Sánchez | No result |
Pedro Antonio Casas | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Pedro Casas advances in the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
The CA-38 primary is significant as it determines which candidates will represent their party in the general election. The outcome can influence party dynamics and voter turnout in California.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about which candidates are likely to advance.
Odds in the CA-38 primary markets are influenced by polling data, candidate fundraising, endorsements, and campaign strategies. Changes in public sentiment and media coverage can also impact market dynamics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.