Live prediction market odds for CA-39 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mark Takano (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-39 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-39 House election. This race will be resolved based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the casting of votes in the district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mark Takano (D)WINNER | Yes |
Steve Manos (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-39 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the CA-39 House winner event.
The winner is determined by the official election results, which reflect the votes cast in the CA-39 district.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
