Live prediction market odds for CA-41 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the CA-41 House seat in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the CA-41 House seat in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties' strategies and voter engagement.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Linda Sánchez (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Mitch Clemmons (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-41 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-41 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and national trends also play a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or new developments in the campaign.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Key events leading up to the election include primary elections, candidate debates, and campaign events that can all impact market odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
