Live prediction market odds for CA-42 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-42 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-42 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will be pivotal as it could influence party control in Congress and reflect broader political trends in California.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Robert Garcia (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Brian Burley (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-42 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-42 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout projections play a crucial role.
This race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which will determine the balance of power in Congress. Outcomes in California often reflect national sentiments and can sway overall party dynamics.
The winner will be decided on November 3, 2026, during the general election. Early voting and mail-in ballots may also influence the final results.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
