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Live prediction market odds for CA-44 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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CA-44 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Democratic Party99¢1.01xPolymarket USGenevieve Angel (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Democratic Party about a 97.1% chance. Genevieve Angel (R) follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Democratic Party about a 97.1% chance. Genevieve Angel (R) follows at 1.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-44 House race set for November 2026. This election will play a crucial role in determining party control in Congress, influencing legislative agendas and national policies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DP
Democratic Party
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.3%95¢100¢0¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%94¢98¢2¢6¢
GA
Genevieve Angel (R)
2%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.7%0¢5¢95¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.6%2¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Genevieve Angel (R)

Genevieve Angel is a Republican candidate for California's 44th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. She is a family nurse practitioner and healthcare executive with nearly 30 years of residency in the district. Her campaign focuses on economic affordability, public safety, healthcare reform, and immigration reform.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Democratic Party

97.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: CA-44 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for CA-44 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-44 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CA-44 House race?

Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout projections also play a role.

How do prediction markets work for elections like CA-44?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and information available about the candidates and the race.

Why is the CA-44 House race important?

The outcome of this race could affect the balance of power in the House of Representatives. It may also influence broader political dynamics leading into the 2028 presidential election.

What does the CA-44 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest CA-44 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Democratic Party: 97.3¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Genevieve Angel (R): 2.7¢ on Kalshi, 1.6¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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