Live prediction market odds for CA-45 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-45 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-45 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the state.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Derek Tran (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Chuong Vo (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-45 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Additionally, local and national political trends can significantly impact the race.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the outcome. Prices reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each candidate winning.
The CA-45 House race is significant as it could determine control of the House of Representatives. Outcomes in this district may also signal broader trends in voter preferences and party strength leading into future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
