About This Market
Traders give Marni von Wilpert (D) about a 90.0% chance. Jim Desmond (R) follows at 10.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.6 percentage points.
Traders give Marni von Wilpert (D) about a 90.0% chance. Jim Desmond (R) follows at 10.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.6 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-48 House race scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal in determining party control in Congress, influenced by local issues and national political trends.



