Live prediction market odds for CA-49 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-49 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-49 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mike Levin (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Armen Kurdian (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-49 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues. Polling data and voter turnout predictions also play a significant role.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and perceived probabilities of various candidates winning.
The CA-49 House seat is crucial as it can impact party control in Congress. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for broader political trends in California and nationally.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
