Live prediction market odds for CA-50 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-50 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-50 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties' strategies and voter mobilization efforts.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Scott Peters (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Steve Cohen (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-50 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-50 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, local issues and national political climate can sway public opinion.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The CA-50 House race is crucial as it may determine which party gains an additional seat in Congress. This could impact legislative priorities and the overall political landscape in the upcoming term.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
