About This Market
Traders give Juan Vargas (D) about a 95.8% chance. Jeff Belle (R) follows at 3.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Traders give Juan Vargas (D) about a 95.8% chance. Jeff Belle (R) follows at 3.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-52 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and party strategies leading into the 2028 elections.



