Live prediction market odds for CA-52 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-52 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-52 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and party strategies leading into the 2028 elections.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Juan Vargas (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Jeff Belle (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-52 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-52 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and national trends also play a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. This can affect legislative agendas and the ability of the majority party to pass key initiatives.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, where multiple federal and state offices are contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
