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Live prediction market odds for CO-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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CO-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Joe Neguse (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USKelley Dennison (R)3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Joe Neguse (D) about a 97.4% chance. Kelley Dennison (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Traders give Joe Neguse (D) about a 97.4% chance. Kelley Dennison (R) follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CO-02 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JN
Joe Neguse (D)
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.1%97¢100¢0¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%94¢98¢2¢6¢
KD
Kelley Dennison (R)
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US4¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi29.41x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.9%0¢3¢97¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Joe Neguse (D)

Joe Neguse is the Assistant Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Colorado's 2nd congressional district. He previously served as Chair of the Democratic Policy and Communications Committee from 2022 to 2024. Neguse is recognized for his bipartisan approach and effectiveness in enacting legislation, ranking among the most effective lawmakers in the House.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.1%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Joe Neguse (D)

97.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: CO-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for CO-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the CO-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CO-02 House race?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play significant roles in shaping market perceptions.

How do prediction markets work for elections like CO-02?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is at stake in the CO-02 House election?

The outcome could impact party control in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative agendas and governance. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for broader political trends leading into the next election cycle.

What does the CO-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest CO-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Joe Neguse (D): 99.1¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kelley Dennison (R): 1.9¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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