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Live prediction market odds for CO-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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CO-08 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Manny Rutinel (D)82¢1.22xPolymarket USGabe Evans (R)17¢5.88xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Manny Rutinel (D) about a 84.7% chance. Gabe Evans (R) follows at 15.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.0 percentage points.

Traders give Manny Rutinel (D) about a 84.7% chance. Gabe Evans (R) follows at 15.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the CO-08 House race. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and impact key legislative agendas.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
MR
Manny Rutinel (D)ARB
85%
Kalshi86¢
Polymarket US82¢
Polymarket87¢
PredictIt83¢
Polymarket US1.22x82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
85.0%84¢86¢14¢16¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
82.0%81¢82¢18¢19¢
PolymarketPolymarket
87.0%86¢87¢13¢14¢
PredictItPredictIt
75.0%75¢83¢17¢25¢
GE
Gabe Evans (R)
15%
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket US17¢
Polymarket15¢
PredictIt28¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%14¢17¢83¢86¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
17.0%16¢17¢83¢84¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%13¢15¢85¢87¢
PredictItPredictIt
11.0%11¢28¢72¢89¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Manny Rutinel (D)

Manny Rutinel is a Democratic candidate for Colorado's 8th Congressional District. He previously served as a member of the Colorado House of Representatives for District 32 from October 2023 until his resignation in September 2026 to focus on his congressional campaign. Rutinel has a background in environmental law and economics, having worked as an associate attorney at Earthjustice and as an economist for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

About Gabe Evans (R)

Gabe Evans is the current U.S. Representative for Colorado's 8th Congressional District, serving his first term in Congress. He won the seat in 2024, defeating Democratic incumbent Yadira Caraveo. Evans is relevant to this prediction market as the incumbent Republican representative seeking re-election in a competitive district.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Manny Rutinel (D)

84.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: CO-08 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for CO-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the CO-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CO-08 House winner?

Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and voter turnout. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway public opinion leading up to the election.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment for the CO-08 House race?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations based on current events and polling data. As new information emerges, such as debates or endorsements, odds can fluctuate significantly.

What is the significance of the CO-08 House race in the broader electoral context?

The CO-08 House race is crucial for both parties as it could determine control of the House of Representatives. Winning this seat may also affect future legislative priorities and party strategies.

What does the CO-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest CO-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Manny Rutinel (D): 85.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 75.0¢ on PredictIt, 82.0¢ on Polymarket US; Gabe Evans (R): 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.0¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on PredictIt, 17.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

CO-08 Democrats Hit 84% With No New Polls to Back the MoveManny Rutinel is priced at 84% to flip CO-08, up 9 points in three days. No polling, endorsement, or fundraising data has surfaced to explain the jump.Sep 18, 2026Rutinel's CO-08 Odds Fall to 80% as Evans's Incumbency Comes Into FocusDemocratic odds slid 8 points in three days after Munsing's exit shifted trader attention from primary consolidation to the harder task of unseating a first-term Republican.Aug 29, 2026Rutinel Holds 75% in CO-08 Despite DCCC Backing, Down 5pp in 3 DaysRutinel dropped from 80% to 72% before recovering. Kalshi prices him at 73%, Polymarket at 71%, as incumbency and district math weigh on sentiment.Jul 27, 2026Republican Party Drops to 16% in CO-08 House Race After 12-Point SlideA 28% to 16% collapse in three days with no news catalyst suggests markets are correcting a structural mispricing in a Biden +9 district.Jul 2, 2026
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Trader up $1.6M lifetime bet $1.6K on Yes at 84¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?WONPre-event: 82%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONManny Rutinel (D)
Pre-event: 82%