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Live prediction market odds for CT-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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CT-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Luke Bronin (D)96¢1.04xPolymarket USAmy Chai (R)5¢20.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Luke Bronin (D) about a 95.3% chance. Amy Chai (R) follows at 4.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.

Traders give Luke Bronin (D) about a 95.3% chance. Amy Chai (R) follows at 4.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-01 House election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
LB
Luke Bronin (D)
95%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.5%93¢98¢2¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.5%94¢97¢3¢6¢
AC
Amy Chai (R)
4%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.8%1¢8¢92¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Luke Bronin (D)

Luke Bronin is a Democratic politician and attorney from Connecticut. He served as the 67th Mayor of Hartford from 2016 to 2024. Bronin is currently a candidate in the Democratic primary for Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, aiming to succeed incumbent Representative John Larson.

About Amy Chai (R)

Dr. Amy Chai is a physician specializing in internal medicine and addiction medicine, currently running as the Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st Congressional District. She previously ran for U.S. House in Connecticut's 3rd District in 2022 as an Independent Party candidate. Dr. Chai emphasizes government transparency, ending hyper-partisanship, and prevention-focused policy, including a proposed 'Home Ownership Initiative' to convert distressed buildings into condominiums and a three-point plan to shore up Social Security.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Luke Bronin (D)

95.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: CT-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for CT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the CT-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CT-01 House election?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local and national issues can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.

How does the CT-01 House race impact national politics?

The outcome of the CT-01 House race could shift the majority in the House of Representatives. This change may affect legislative priorities and the overall political climate.

When will the results of the CT-01 House election be available?

Results for the CT-01 House election will be available on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take days or weeks to confirm due to mail-in ballots and recounts.

What does the CT-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest CT-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Luke Bronin (D): 95.5¢ on Kalshi, 95.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Amy Chai (R): 4.8¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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LOSTLuke Bronin (D)
Pre-event: 1%