Live prediction market odds for CT-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-05 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-05 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize for the election cycle.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jahana Hayes (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Chris Shea (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CT-5 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the CT-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising success, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also sway market perceptions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about who will win.
The outcome of this race could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Given its competitive nature, it draws attention from both national parties aiming to secure a majority.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
