Live prediction market odds for DE-AL House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the DE-AL House race for the 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the DE-AL House race for the 2026 elections. This contest will influence the balance of power in Congress and shape legislative priorities moving forward.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sarah McBride (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Joseph Arminio (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for DE-AL for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the DE-AL congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter sentiment are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
The DE-AL House race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which are crucial for determining control of the House of Representatives. Outcomes in this race could impact legislative agendas and party strategies.
The DE-AL House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
