Live prediction market odds for FL-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-02 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-02 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Austin Rogers (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Amanda Green (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for FL-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, party support, and local issues affecting voters. Polling data and campaign strategies also play a significant role.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities. It also serves as a bellwether for broader electoral trends leading into the 2026 elections.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026, with campaigns ramping up in the months prior. Key events such as debates and fundraising efforts will shape the race leading to the election date.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
