Live prediction market odds for FL-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-04 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-04 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Aaron Bean (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
LaShonda Holloway (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for FL-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout will play crucial roles.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities and governance. A change in representation may also influence party strategies heading into future elections.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, when numerous federal and state positions are contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
