Live prediction market odds for FL-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. John Rutherford (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-05 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-05 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
John Rutherford (R)WINNER | Yes |
Rachel Grage (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for FL-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Results for the FL-05 House election will be officially announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026.
Odds in this market are influenced by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout trends as the election date approaches.
The winner is determined by the official election results, which are released by election authorities following the conclusion of voting on November 3, 2026.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
