Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for FL-09 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Predict.fun

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

FL-09 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Dan Green (R)69¢1.45xKalshiDarren Soto (D)31¢3.23xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Dan Green (R) about a 68.3% chance. Darren Soto (D) follows at 30.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Dan Green (R) about a 68.3% chance. Darren Soto (D) follows at 30.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-09 House election. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Best price
DG
Dan Green (R)
68%
Kalshi69¢
Polymarket US70¢
Polymarket69¢
Predict.fun71¢
Kalshi1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
69.0%68¢69¢31¢32¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
68.0%68¢70¢30¢32¢
PolymarketPolymarket
68.0%68¢69¢31¢32¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
69.0%67¢71¢29¢33¢
DS
Darren Soto (D)
31%
Kalshi32¢
Polymarket US31¢
Polymarket32¢
Predict.fun34¢
Polymarket US3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
31.0%30¢32¢68¢70¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
29.0%29¢31¢69¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
31.5%31¢32¢68¢69¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
29.1%29¢34¢66¢71¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Candidate Spotlight

About Dan Green (R)

Dan Green is the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. He served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development from 2019 to 2021. His extensive military and defense experience underscores his qualifications for this congressional role.

About Darren Soto (D)

Darren Soto is the U.S. Representative for Florida's 9th Congressional District, serving since 2017. Before Congress, he was a member of the Florida State Senate from 2012 to 2016. As a congressman, he has secured significant federal funding for infrastructure projects in Central Florida.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Dan Green (R)

68.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FL-09 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for FL-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the FL-09 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official results of the FL-09 House election held on November 3, 2026. The candidate receiving the most votes will be declared the winner.

How do candidates influence the odds in this market?

Candidate campaigning, public appearances, and polling data can significantly impact the odds in the FL-09 House winner market. As candidates gain or lose support, the odds will reflect these changes.

What platforms are tracking the FL-09 House winner event?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary platforms monitoring the FL-09 House winner event. Additional insights may also be available on Predictfun.

What does the FL-09 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FL-09 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Dan Green (R): 69.0¢ on Kalshi, 68.0¢ on Polymarket, 68.0¢ on Polymarket US, 69.0¢ on Predict.fun; Darren Soto (D): 31.0¢ on Kalshi, 31.5¢ on Polymarket, 29.0¢ on Polymarket US, 29.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Blue tsunami in 2026?

View

2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee

View

Arizona Governor Election Winner

View

Maine Governor Election Winner

View

SINQU Rehti vs. ENCE Prospects

Resolved Sep 28

Final odds