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Live prediction market odds for FL-15 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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FL-15 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Laurel Lee (R)92¢1.09xKalshiRobert People (D)9¢11.11xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Laurel Lee (R) about a 91.6% chance. Robert People (D) follows at 8.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Laurel Lee (R) about a 91.6% chance. Robert People (D) follows at 8.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-15 House election, set to take place on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by state election officials following the voting process on that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
LL
Laurel Lee (R)
92%
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket93¢
Kalshi1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.2%90¢92¢8¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
92.5%92¢93¢7¢8¢
RP
Robert People (D)
8%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket US9¢
Polymarket9¢
Polymarket US11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.9%8¢10¢90¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.6%7¢9¢91¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Laurel Lee (R)

Laurel Lee is the U.S. Representative for Florida's 15th congressional district, serving since January 3, 2023. She previously served as Florida's Secretary of State from 2019 to 2022. Lee has a background in law and public service, including roles as a federal prosecutor and circuit court judge.

About Robert People (D)

Robert People is a Democratic candidate for Florida's 15th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He is a retired U.S. Army veteran with 21 years of service, including three combat tours, and has worked as a writer. His campaign focuses on protecting Social Security, Medicare for All, women's reproductive rights, raising teacher salaries, and immigration reform.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Laurel Lee (R)

91.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FL-15 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for FL-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-15 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the FL-15 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, the date of the general election for the FL-15 House seat.

How will the winner of the FL-15 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results announced by state election officials after the polls close.

Which platforms are tracking the FL-15 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the winner of the FL-15 House election.

What does the FL-15 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FL-15 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Laurel Lee (R): 91.2¢ on Kalshi, 92.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Robert People (D): 8.9¢ on Kalshi, 7.6¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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