Live prediction market odds for FL-19 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Aug 19, 2026. Jim Schwartzel was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Republican nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Republican nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives leading up to the 2026 elections.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jim SchwartzelWINNER | Yes |
Chris Collins | No |
Ola Hawatmeh | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Chris Collins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-19 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, local political dynamics and voter sentiment play significant roles.
The FL-19 seat is crucial as it could impact the Republican Party's overall strategy and control in the House. Winning this district may help secure a majority in a closely contested election cycle.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. The prices reflect collective beliefs about each candidate's chances of securing the nomination.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
