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Live prediction market odds for FL-22 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Predict.fun

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FL-22 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Pia Dandiya (D)52¢1.92xKalshiCasey Askar (R)48¢2.08xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Pia Dandiya (D) about a 51.3% chance. Casey Askar (R) follows at 48.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Pia Dandiya (D) about a 51.3% chance. Casey Askar (R) follows at 48.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-22 House election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official results announced by the state election office following the election day voting and any subsequent recounts if necessary.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Best price
PD
Pia Dandiya (D)
51%
Kalshi52¢
Polymarket US52¢
Polymarket52¢
Predict.fun54¢
Kalshi1.92x52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
52.0%51¢52¢48¢49¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
51.0%51¢52¢48¢49¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.0%50¢52¢48¢50¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
51.0%48¢54¢46¢52¢
CA
Casey Askar (R)
48%
Kalshi48¢
Polymarket US49¢
Polymarket49¢
Predict.fun50¢
Kalshi2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
48.0%47¢48¢52¢53¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
48.0%48¢49¢51¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
48.0%46¢50¢50¢54¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Candidate Spotlight

About Pia Dandiya (D)

Pia Dandiya is the Democratic nominee for Florida's 22nd Congressional District. She founded a high-performing high school in Harlem, ensuring every graduate earned college admission despite most students coming from low-income households. Dandiya has served as a White House Fellow and led public-sector initiatives at Apple, focusing on education, healthcare, and government services.

About Casey Askar (R)

Casey Askar is a Republican candidate for Florida's 22nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He is a U.S. Marine Corps veteran and the president of Askar Brands, a multi-brand restaurant management and franchising company. Askar's military background and business leadership position him as a prominent figure in the race.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Pia Dandiya (D)

51.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FL-22 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for FL-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-22 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the FL-22 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state election office. If a recount occurs, the final certified results after the recount will be used.

When is the FL-22 House election taking place?

The FL-22 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is set for federal elections in the United States.

Which platforms are tracking the FL-22 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the FL-22 House winner market. Predictfun is not included in the tracking for this specific event.

What does the FL-22 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FL-22 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Pia Dandiya (D): 52.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US, 51.0¢ on Predict.fun; Casey Askar (R): 48.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US, 48.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

DCCC Targets FL-22, Pushing Dandiya to 52% in Prediction MarketsThe DCCC added FL-22 to its competitive list after Dandiya's 68.6% primary win, lifting her odds 10 points to 52% against Casey Askar.Sep 24, 2026