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Live prediction market odds for FL-24 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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FL-24 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Oliver Gilbert (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USRepublican3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Oliver Gilbert (D) about a 96.8% chance. Republican follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Oliver Gilbert (D) about a 96.8% chance. Republican follows at 2.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-24 House race. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
OG
Oliver Gilbert (D)
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.1%97¢100¢0¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.9%96¢96¢4¢4¢
R
RepublicanARB
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi31.25x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.2%2¢3¢98¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Oliver Gilbert (D)

Oliver Gilbert III is the current Miami-Dade County Commissioner for District 1. He served as the Mayor of Miami Gardens from 2012 to 2020. His extensive experience in local government and leadership roles makes him a significant figure in Florida politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Oliver Gilbert (D)

96.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FL-24 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for FL-24 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-24 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the FL-24 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the FL-24 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the FL-24 House winner event.

What factors influence the odds for the FL-24 House race?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

What does the FL-24 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FL-24 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Oliver Gilbert (D): 98.1¢ on Kalshi, 95.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on Polymarket US; Republican: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.2¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

FL-24 Hits 96%: Why Gilbert's Odds May Still Be Too LowFL-24 jumped 8 percentage points in 3 days. The move corrected mispricing in a D+50 seat Cook rates Solid D with no competitive challenger.Sep 20, 2026