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Live prediction market odds for FL-26 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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FL-26 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Republican88¢1.14xKalshiNicole Locklin (D)13¢7.69xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Republican about a 86.8% chance. Nicole Locklin (D) follows at 13.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Republican about a 86.8% chance. Nicole Locklin (D) follows at 13.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the FL-26 House race. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
R
RepublicanARB
87%
Kalshi88¢
Polymarket US89¢
Polymarket86¢
Kalshi1.14x88¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
86.5%85¢88¢12¢15¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
89.0%88¢89¢11¢12¢
PolymarketPolymarket
85.0%85¢86¢14¢15¢
NL
Nicole Locklin (D)
13%
Kalshi15¢
Polymarket US13¢
Polymarket14¢
Polymarket US7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%11¢15¢85¢89¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
12.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
14.0%13¢14¢86¢87¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Nicole Locklin (D)

Nicole Locklin is a Miami attorney and the Democratic nominee for U.S. House in Florida's 26th District. She previously worked as a litigation associate and in-house counsel at technology companies including Nextdoor and Databricks. Her campaign emphasizes anti-corruption, affordability, universal healthcare, immigration reform, and foreign-policy accountability.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

86.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FL-26 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for FL-26 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-26 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the FL-26 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the FL-26 House race?

Odds are impacted by candidate campaigning, voter sentiment, and any significant developments in the lead-up to the election.

Which platforms are tracking the FL-26 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the FL-26 House race winner.

What does the FL-26 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FL-26 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 86.5¢ on Kalshi, 85.0¢ on Polymarket, 89.0¢ on Polymarket US; Nicole Locklin (D): 13.0¢ on Kalshi, 14.0¢ on Polymarket, 12.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →