Live prediction market odds for Florida Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Resolved 2026-08-18
This market resolved on 2026-08-18. Byron Donalds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Florida Republican Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Florida Republican Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This event is crucial as it will shape the party's strategy and influence voter turnout in a key battleground state.
| Candidate |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Byron DonaldsWINNER | 100% | 99% | 99% | 99% |
James Fishback | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Byron Donalds
99.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Byron Donalds wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Byron Donalds wins the Republican nomination to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship. Outcome verified from relevant party authorities.
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts. Additionally, voter sentiment and national political trends play a significant role.
The nominee will represent the party in the general election, affecting campaign strategies and voter engagement. A strong candidate can energize the base and attract undecided voters.
The nominee will be determined during the primary elections, which are scheduled for August 2026. This timeline allows candidates to campaign and build support leading up to the primaries.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Byron Donalds: 99.9¢ on Kalshi, 98.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on PredictIt, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; James Fishback: 0.1¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on PredictIt, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
