Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place
Live prediction market odds for Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Florida Republican governor primary for the second place outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Florida Republican governor primary for the second place outcome. This primary is crucial as it shapes the party's strategy and candidate positioning ahead of the general election, influencing voter sentiment and campaign dynamics.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jay Collins | Yes |
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey | No result |
Bobby Williams | No result |
Candidate A | No result |
Candidate B | No result |
Candidate C | No result |
Candidate D | No result |
Candidate E | No result |
Candidate F | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Jay Collins finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies significantly impact the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in Florida can sway public opinion leading up to the primary.
Finishing in second place can provide candidates with momentum and visibility for future elections. It also affects the allocation of party resources and support for the eventual nominee.
Prediction markets adjust odds based on real-time information, including debates, media coverage, and fundraising success. As candidates gain or lose support, the markets react to these shifts, providing insights into potential outcomes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
| No result |
Daniel Nokovich | No result |
James Walker Shaw | No result |
Jim Holcomb | No result |
Other | No result |
Rachel Rodriguez | No result |
Byron Donalds | No |
Casey DeSantis | No |
James Fishback | No |
Paul Renner | No |
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
