Live prediction market odds for Florida Senate winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ashley Moody (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Florida Senate race.
Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Florida Senate race. This election will be resolved on November 3, 2027, based on the official results from the state’s voting process, which includes early voting and Election Day ballots.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ashley Moody (R)WINNER | Yes |
Angie Nixon (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm special election for US Senator from Florida. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Decision Desk HQ. Any references to Decision Desk HQ or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Decision Desk HQ and Polymarket US.
The Florida Senate race will be decided on November 3, 2027. This date marks Election Day when voters will cast their ballots.
Odds in the Florida Senate race market are influenced by polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events leading up to the election. Changes in voter sentiment can also impact the odds significantly.
The winner is determined by the official election results reported by the state of Florida. This includes counting all votes cast on Election Day and during early voting.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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