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Live prediction market odds for GA-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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GA-05 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Nikema Williams (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USJohn Salvesen (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Nikema Williams (D) about a 97.3% chance. John Salvesen (R) follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Nikema Williams (D) about a 97.3% chance. John Salvesen (R) follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the GA-05 House race. The outcome will be determined by the election held on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election day.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
NW
Nikema Williams (D)
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.8%96¢100¢1¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.2%98¢99¢2¢2¢
JS
John Salvesen (R)
2%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US2¢
—
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%0¢3¢97¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Nikema Williams (D)

Nikema Williams is the U.S. Representative for Georgia's 5th Congressional District, serving her third term in the House of Representatives. She previously served as Chair of the Democratic Party of Georgia from 2019 to 2025. Williams is recognized for her leadership in advocating for voting rights, economic justice, and reproductive freedom.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Nikema Williams (D)

97.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: GA-05 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for GA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the GA-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the GA-05 House election?

The GA-05 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots for the congressional seat.

How do prediction markets determine odds for the GA-05 House race?

Odds for the GA-05 House race are influenced by various factors, including candidate popularity, campaign funding, and polling data. As these elements change, so do the odds in the markets.

What platforms are tracking the GA-05 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the winner of the GA-05 House race. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market activity and sentiment.

What does the GA-05 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest GA-05 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Nikema Williams (D): 97.8¢ on Kalshi, 98.2¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; John Salvesen (R): 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

GA-05 Democratic nominee?WONPre-event: 93%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

GA-05 Democratic nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-19

WONNikema Williams (D)
Pre-event: 93%