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Live prediction market odds for GA-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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GA-08 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Austin Scott (R)96¢1.04xKalshiKelly Esti (D)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Austin Scott (R) about a 93.8% chance. Kelly Esti (D) follows at 5.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Traders give Austin Scott (R) about a 93.8% chance. Kelly Esti (D) follows at 5.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the GA-08 House election. The election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter turnout trends leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AS
Austin Scott (R)
94%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.05x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.1%93¢96¢4¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
KE
Kelly Esti (D)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi12.66x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.1%4¢8¢92¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Austin Scott (R)

Austin Scott is the current U.S. Representative for Georgia's 8th Congressional District, serving since 2011. He is a senior member of the House Agriculture and Armed Services committees. His extensive tenure and leadership roles in these committees underscore his significant influence in agricultural and defense policy.

About Kelly Esti (D)

Kelly Esti is a Navy veteran and small business executive. He holds a PhD in Public Policy and has served as a nuclear operator aboard a submarine from 1999 to 2002. His campaign focuses on affordable education, sustainable infrastructure, and poverty reduction.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.4%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Austin Scott (R)

93.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: GA-08 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for GA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the GA-08 House election?

The GA-08 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.

How will the winner of the GA-08 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results announced after the polls close. These results will reflect the total votes counted for each candidate.

What factors influence the odds for the GA-08 House election in prediction markets?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigning, public opinion polls, and voter turnout trends as the election date approaches. Changes in these factors can lead to significant fluctuations in market prices.

What does the GA-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest GA-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Austin Scott (R): 93.1¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket; Kelly Esti (D): 6.1¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $131K lifetime bet $1.6K on Yes at 94¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $131K lifetime bet $1.3K on No at 94¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?Trade on Kalshi →