Greek general election winner?
Live prediction market odds for Greek general election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give ND about a 92.5% chance. ELAS follows at 7.0%, PASOK-KINAL follows at 2.3%, and SYRIZA follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the winner of the next Greek general election is New Democracy, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
The Greek general election will shape the country's governance and policy direction for the coming years. It can also affect Greece's economic stability and its relationships within the European Union.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and analysis of the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Odds can fluctuate based on polling data, campaign events, and public sentiment leading up to the election. Key issues such as economic performance and social policies will also play a crucial role in shaping voter preferences.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are ND: 91.5¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket; ELAS: 7.0¢ on Polymarket; PASOK-KINAL: 4.2¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket; SYRIZA: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
