Live prediction market odds for Hawaii Governor winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Hawaii gubernatorial election set for November 3, 2026.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Hawaii gubernatorial election set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence local policies and party control in a historically Democratic state.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Josh Green (D) | Yes |
Option A | No result |
Option B | No result |
Option C | No result |
Option D | No result |
Option E | No result |
Option F | No result |
Option G | No result |
Option H | No result |
Option I | No result |
Option J | No result |
Other | No result |
Gary Cordery (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Hawaii pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, party affiliation, and recent polling data. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as candidate announcements or shifts in public opinion. Major events like debates or endorsements also impact market prices.
The outcome will determine the state's leadership and influence policy decisions on key issues like tourism, healthcare, and education. It also affects the balance of power between political parties in Hawaii.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
