Live prediction market odds for HI-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for HI-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Ed Case (D) about a 96.6% chance. Adriel Lam (R) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.
Traders give Ed Case (D) about a 96.6% chance. Adriel Lam (R) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the HI-01 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Ed Case (D)
96.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for HI-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the HI-01 House winner market.
Odds in the HI-01 House winner market are influenced by campaign events, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Ed Case (D): 97.5¢ on Kalshi, 95.7¢ on Polymarket; Adriel Lam (R): 2.3¢ on Kalshi, 3.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.