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Live prediction market odds for How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

198¢1.02xKalshi371¢1.41xPolymarket424¢4.17xPolymarket
Compare all 6 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give 1 about a 95.0% chance. 3 follows at 71.0%, 4 follows at 22.0%, and 2 follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give 1 about a 95.0% chance. 3 follows at 71.0%, 4 follows at 22.0%, and 2 follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the number of House seats Democrats will win in Utah during the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in a traditionally Republican state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
1
1
single venue95%
Kalshi98¢
—
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.0%92¢98¢2¢8¢
3
3
single venue71%
—
Polymarket71¢
Polymarket1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
71.0%70¢71¢29¢30¢
4
4
single venue22%
—
Polymarket24¢
Polymarket4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
22.0%20¢24¢76¢80¢
2
2
3%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢6¢94¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.2%3¢6¢94¢97¢
0
0
1%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢5¢95¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.6%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms2
Candidates6
Leader

1

95.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Democrats win 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for Democrats winning House seats in Utah?

Key factors include demographic shifts, local political trends, and the popularity of Democratic candidates. Additionally, national issues and voter turnout will play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

How do prediction markets work for this election event?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants regarding the number of seats Democrats will win.

What is the historical context for Democrats in Utah's House elections?

Historically, Utah has leaned Republican in House elections, making it challenging for Democrats to gain seats. However, changing demographics and political engagement may alter this trend in future elections.

How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are 1: 95.0¢ on Kalshi; 3: 71.0¢ on Polymarket; 4: 22.0¢ on Polymarket; 2: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds