Hsinchu City mayoral election winner?
Live prediction market odds for Hsinchu City mayoral election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Traders give Ann Kao about a 88.3% chance. Chuang Ching-cheng follows at 11.5% and Ho Chih-yung follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ho Chih-yung wins the 2026 Hsinchu City mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The winner is determined by the official election results following the voting process. Votes are counted and verified by local election authorities.
Trading closes on November 29, 2026, coinciding with the end of the election process. This deadline marks when no further bets can be placed.
Odds are influenced by candidate polling, campaign events, and public sentiment leading up to the election. Significant developments in the political landscape can also affect market prices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Ann Kao: 88.5¢ on Kalshi, 88.0¢ on Polymarket; Chuang Ching-cheng: 12.0¢ on Kalshi, 11.0¢ on Polymarket; Ho Chih-yung: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
