Live prediction market odds for IA-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IA-03 House race.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IA-03 House race. This election outcome will impact party control in the House and influence legislative priorities moving forward.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sarah Trone Garriott (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Zach Nunn (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IA-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IA-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly sway public perception.
The IA-03 race is crucial as it could determine the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A shift in control could affect legislative agendas and party strategies.
The IA-03 House election is set for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
