Live prediction market odds for ID-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mike Simpson (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the ID-02 House election held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the ID-02 House election held on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on which candidate receives the most votes in the election, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mike Simpson (R)WINNER | Yes |
Ellie Gilbreath (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for ID-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the ID-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the election date.
The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the election.
Odds are influenced by campaign activities, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
