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Live prediction market odds for IL-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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IL-03 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Delia Ramirez (D)98¢1.02xPolymarketAngel Oakley (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Delia Ramirez (D) about a 96.0% chance. Angel Oakley (R) follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Traders give Delia Ramirez (D) about a 96.0% chance. Angel Oakley (R) follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-03 House election, set for November 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the official certification of the election results by Illinois state officials following the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DR
Delia Ramirez (D)
96%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.6%93¢98¢2¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%95¢98¢2¢5¢
AO
Angel Oakley (R)ARB
4%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket47.62x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.4%2¢5¢95¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.1%2¢2¢98¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Delia Ramirez (D)

Delia C. Ramirez is the U.S. Representative for Illinois's 3rd congressional district, serving since January 3, 2023. She previously served as a member of the Illinois House of Representatives for the 4th district from 2018 to 2022. Ramirez is the first Latina elected to Congress from Illinois and the entire Midwest.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Delia Ramirez (D)

96.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: IL-03 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for IL-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the IL-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, the date of the election.

How does the market determine the winner?

The winner is determined by the official certification of election results by Illinois state officials.

Which platforms are tracking this election market?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the IL-03 House winner market.

What does the IL-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest IL-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Delia Ramirez (D): 95.6¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Angel Oakley (R): 3.4¢ on Kalshi, 2.1¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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