Live prediction market odds for IL-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Patty Garcia (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-04 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-04 House race. This market resolves based on the official election results from November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Patty Garcia (D)WINNER | Yes |
Chris Getty | No |
Lupe Castillo (R) | No |
Mayra Macías | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IL-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date.
Odds fluctuate based on candidate activities, polling data, and voter engagement as the election date approaches.
The winner is determined by the official election results announced after voting concludes on November 3, 2026.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
