About This Market
Traders give Patty Garcia (D) about a 94.5% chance. Lupe Castillo (R) follows at 4.6%, Chris Getty follows at 3.0%, and Mayra Macías follows at 0.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.
Traders give Patty Garcia (D) about a 94.5% chance. Lupe Castillo (R) follows at 4.6%, Chris Getty follows at 3.0%, and Mayra Macías follows at 0.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-04 House race. This market resolves based on the official election results from November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
