Live prediction market odds for IL-06 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Sean Casten (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-06 House race, which will be decided on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-06 House race, which will be decided on November 3, 2026. Market odds will fluctuate based on candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter turnout leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sean Casten (D)WINNER | Yes |
Niki Conforti (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IL-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The IL-06 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.
Odds for the IL-06 House winner are influenced by candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter turnout. These elements can shift market perceptions as the election date approaches.
Prediction markets for the IL-06 House race resolve based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026. The candidate receiving the most votes will be declared the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
