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Live prediction market odds for IL-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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IL-08 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Melissa Bean (D)94¢1.06xPolymarket USJennifer Davis (R)7¢14.29xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Melissa Bean (D) about a 93.3% chance. Jennifer Davis (R) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Melissa Bean (D) about a 93.3% chance. Jennifer Davis (R) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-08 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the results of the election held in that district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MB
Melissa Bean (D)
93%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.3%92¢95¢5¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.0%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
JD
Jennifer Davis (R)
6%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi14.49x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.6%4¢7¢93¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Melissa Bean (D)

Raja Krishnamoorthi is the U.S. Representative for Illinois's 8th congressional district, serving since 2017. Before his congressional tenure, he was the Deputy Treasurer of Illinois from 2007 to 2009. His extensive experience in public service and policy analysis makes him a significant figure in Illinois politics.

About Jennifer Davis (R)

Jennifer Davis is the Republican nominee for Illinois's 8th Congressional District in the 2026 general election. She co-founded Davisware, a global field-service software company, and later founded BExponential. Her campaign emphasizes cutting taxes and regulations, parental rights in education, and limiting government overreach.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Melissa Bean (D)

93.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: IL-08 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for IL-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the IL-08 House election?

The IL-08 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots to determine the winner.

Which platforms are tracking the IL-08 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the IL-08 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.

How is the winner of the IL-08 House race determined?

The winner of the IL-08 House race is determined by the election results from the district. Votes cast on November 3, 2026, will decide the outcome.

What does the IL-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest IL-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Melissa Bean (D): 93.3¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jennifer Davis (R): 5.6¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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