Live prediction market odds for IL-09 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Daniel Biss (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-09 House election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-09 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election day.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Daniel Biss (D)WINNER | Yes |
John Elleson (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IL-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The IL-09 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the official election day when votes will be cast and counted.
The market resolves based on the official announcement of the IL-09 House election winner. This outcome is determined by the total votes counted after election day.
Candidate campaigns influence market odds through public engagement, debate performances, and polling results. As these factors change, they can lead to shifts in the perceived likelihood of each candidate winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
