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Live prediction market odds for IL-12 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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IL-12 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Mike Bost (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USJulie Fortier (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Mike Bost (R) about a 94.7% chance. Julie Fortier (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.2 percentage points.

Traders give Mike Bost (R) about a 94.7% chance. Julie Fortier (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IL-12 House race. This election will be decided on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter turnout projections leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MB
Mike Bost (R)ARB
95%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%95¢96¢4¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.0%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%96¢98¢2¢5¢
JF
Julie Fortier (D)ARB
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.6%4¢8¢92¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.4%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Mike Bost (R)

Mike Bost is the current U.S. Representative for Illinois' 12th congressional district, serving since 2015. He previously served in the Illinois House of Representatives from 1995 to 2014. Bost has a strong track record in the district, winning re-election in 2024 with 74.2% of the vote.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Mike Bost (R)

94.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: IL-12 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for IL-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IL-12 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the IL-12 House election?

The IL-12 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots for the House representative.

How do prediction markets determine odds for this election?

Odds in prediction markets for the IL-12 House race are influenced by various factors, including candidate visibility, polling results, and campaign activities. As these elements change, so do the market prices reflecting the likelihood of each candidate's success.

What platforms are tracking the IL-12 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the IL-12 House winner. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments related to the election.

What does the IL-12 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest IL-12 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Mike Bost (R): 94.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Julie Fortier (D): 7.6¢ on Kalshi, 3.4¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds