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Live prediction market odds for Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

Kalshi

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Kalshi / Polymarket US

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Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Above 3.50M85¢1.18xPolymarket USAbove 3.70M81¢1.23xKalshiAbove 3.90M71¢1.41xKalshi
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 3.50M about a 86.8% chance. Above 3.70M follows at 80.0%, Above 3.90M follows at 70.0%, and Above 4.10M follows at 58.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Traders give Above 3.50M about a 86.8% chance. Above 3.70M follows at 80.0%, Above 3.90M follows at 70.0%, and Above 4.10M follows at 58.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking voter turnout for the Illinois Senate General Election on November 3, 2026. High voter turnout can influence election outcomes and reflects public engagement in key political issues, making it a critical factor for candidates and parties alike.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
A3
Above 3.50M
87%
Kalshi89¢
Polymarket US85¢
Polymarket US1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
89.0%80¢89¢11¢20¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
84.5%84¢85¢15¢16¢
A3
Above 3.70M
single venue80%
Kalshi81¢
—
Kalshi1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%73¢81¢19¢27¢
A3
Above 3.90M
single venue70%
Kalshi71¢
—
Kalshi1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
70.0%63¢71¢29¢37¢
A4
Above 4.10M
single venue58%
Kalshi60¢
—
Kalshi1.67x60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
58.0%52¢60¢40¢48¢
A4
Above 4.30M
single venue45%
Kalshi49¢
—
Kalshi2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
44.5%40¢49¢51¢60¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Above 3.50M

86.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the total vote count for all participants in Illinois Senate General Election is above 3500000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Illinois is above 3,500,000 (3.5M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence voter turnout in the Illinois Senate General Election?

Factors include voter registration efforts, candidate appeal, and key issues at stake. Additionally, weather conditions and election day logistics can also impact turnout.

How does voter turnout affect election results?

Higher voter turnout can favor certain candidates or parties, often reflecting broader public sentiment. It can also lead to more competitive races and unexpected outcomes.

What historical trends exist for voter turnout in Illinois elections?

Illinois has seen varying voter turnout rates in past elections, often influenced by the competitiveness of the race and national trends. Presidential election years typically yield higher turnout compared to midterms.

What does the Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout odds?

The latest available prices are Above 3.50M: 89.0¢ on Kalshi, 84.5¢ on Polymarket US; Above 3.70M: 80.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 3.90M: 70.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 4.10M: 58.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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