Live prediction market odds for IN-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Marlin Stutzman (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IN-03 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IN-03 House race. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and local issues.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Marlin Stutzman (R)WINNER | Yes |
Kelly Thompson (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IN-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IN-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The IN-03 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the end of the election process for this congressional seat.
The winner will be determined by the official election results released after the polls close. These results will reflect the votes cast by constituents in the district.
Odds in the IN-03 House race markets are influenced by candidate campaigns, local issues, and voter sentiment. Changes in polling data and endorsements can also impact market movements.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
