Live prediction market odds for IN-08 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mark Messmer (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IN-08 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the IN-08 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the conclusion of the voting process in Indiana's 8th congressional district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mark Messmer (R)WINNER | Yes |
Mary Allen (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for IN-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IN-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The election for the IN-08 House winner is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the conclusion of the voting process.
The prediction markets resolve based on the official election results. The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the IN-08 district.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking the IN-08 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
