What is the date of the election for IN-08 House winner?

The election for the IN-08 House winner is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the conclusion of the voting process.

How do the prediction markets resolve for this event?

The prediction markets resolve based on the official election results. The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the IN-08 district.

Which platforms are tracking the IN-08 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking the IN-08 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.

What does the IN-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest IN-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Mark Messmer (R): 95.7¢ on Kalshi, 95.9¢ on Polymarket; Mary Allen (D): 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do IN-08 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do IN-08 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Mark Messmer (R) at 95.8¢ implies about a 95.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.