Live prediction market odds for Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Josh Turek was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Iowa Democratic Senate nominee for the upcoming 2026 election.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Iowa Democratic Senate nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a focal point for political analysts and voters alike.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Josh TurekWINNER | 93% | 3% | 97% |
Zach Wahls | 10% | 11% | 3% |
Nathan Sage | 1% | — | — |
J.D. Scholten | 1% | — | — |
Josh Turek
47.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nathan Sage wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Iowa Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and party alignment in Iowa can significantly impact predictions.
The nominee's success could shift the balance of power in the Senate, affecting legislative priorities. Iowa's political climate often serves as an indicator for broader national trends.
The nominee will be determined during the primary elections scheduled for June 2, 2026. This date is critical as it sets the stage for the general election campaign.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Josh Turek: 92.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on PredictIt; Zach Wahls: 10.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.6¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on PredictIt; Nathan Sage: 0.9¢ on Kalshi; J.D. Scholten: 0.8¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
