Traders give Rocky Adkins about a 66.3% chance. Jacqueline Coleman follows at 47.3%, Charles Booker follows at 5.0%, and Amy McGrath follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 21.5 percentage points.
Rocky Adkins is a Democratic politician from Kentucky, currently running for governor in the 2027 election. He served as a member of the Kentucky House of Representatives from 1987 to 2019, including as majority leader from 2004 to 2017 and minority leader from 2017 to 2019. Adkins has a longstanding commitment to public service and has been a prominent figure in Kentucky politics for decades.
About Jacqueline Coleman
Jacqueline Coleman is the 58th Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky, serving since December 10, 2019. She previously served as Secretary of the Kentucky Education and Workforce Development Cabinet from December 2019 to October 2021. Coleman is recognized for her advocacy in public education and rural economic development.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Rocky Adkins wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027.
If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the nominee for the Kentucky Democratic Governor?
The nominee is determined by the results of the Democratic primary election. Candidates campaign for votes from registered Democratic voters in Kentucky.
When does trading close for this market?
Trading for this market closes on May 19, 2027. This date marks the deadline for trading, not necessarily when the primary results are announced.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign activities leading up to the primary. Changes in public opinion and candidate performances can also affect market prices.
What does the Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee odds?
The latest available prices are Rocky Adkins: 60.5¢ on Kalshi, 72.0¢ on Polymarket; Jacqueline Coleman: 36.5¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket; Charles Booker: 5.0¢ on Kalshi; Amy McGrath: 3.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.