Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?
Live prediction market odds for Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give James Comer about a 82.5% chance. Rick Hardin follows at 5.1%, Thomas Massie follows at 4.8%, and Nate Morris follows at 4.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Thomas Massie wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If the nominee is not listed, every market resolves to No.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The market resolves when the Republican nominee for Governor of Kentucky is officially determined following the primary election. This outcome is based on the votes cast during the primary.
Odds fluctuate based on candidate polling, endorsements, and campaign developments leading up to the primary election. Significant events, such as debates or major endorsements, can impact trader sentiment.
Trading is scheduled to close on May 19, 2027, which is the deadline for this market. However, the actual nomination may be decided earlier during the primary election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are James Comer: 82.0¢ on Kalshi, 83.0¢ on Polymarket; Rick Hardin: 4.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.8¢ on Polymarket; Thomas Massie: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket; Nate Morris: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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